最佳市场预测解决方案是 BeInCrypto Institutional 100 年度榜单中的一个获奖类别，该榜单依托深度研究，旨在表彰数字资产机构在 6 大支柱、26 个细分领域的卓越表现。
该类别隶属于支柱一：“零售与加密资产桥接”。下方列出的 15 家机构，涵盖交易平台、券商与钱包集成方、去中心化协议、专业流动性基础设施等，在 2025 年 4 月至 2026 年 3 月期间，为机构和散户参与事件合约及预测市场提供了关键支持。
在此期间，预测市场板块的月度名义交易量自约 12 亿美元飙升至 250 亿美元以上。最终入围名单将于 2026 年 5 月公布，获奖结果将在 2026 年 6 月 2–3 日巴黎 Proof of Talk 峰会现场揭晓。
- 初选名单：共 15 家企业，覆盖受 CFTC 监管的 DCM 交易平台、券商与钱包分发的事件合约平台、链上原生预测市场、去中心化交易所（DEX）集成预测协议、体育与声誉垂类专家，以及预测市场专业流动性基础设施提供方。
- 候选筛选：最初共筛查 34 家事件合约与预测市场平台及基础设施提供商，最终 15 家入围初选名单，另有 5 家企业进入后续沟通池。
- 评分方式（B 赛道）：编辑部量化打分占 30%，专家委员会裁决占 50%，公开披露材料占 20%。
- 评估维度：市场深度、流动性、结算质量、活跃用户规模、合规状况、机构适用性、技术基础设施等。
- 数据来源：包括 CFTC 指定合约市场（DCM）和衍生品清算机构注册文件、CFTC 期货经纪与介绍经纪商名单、ESMA 事件合约监管指引、FCA 临时注册、Dune Analytics 和 DefiLlama 链上交易量数据、各公司披露的透明度报告、交易所上市公示、上市母公司审计财报，以及 PitchBook、Tracxn、Crunchbase 等私营市场数据平台，辅以主流财经媒体报道。
| # | Firm | Sub-Segment | HQ | Scale Signal | Core Product | Representative Work |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polymarket | On-chain venue | New York, USA | $10B+ monthly volume $1.6B ICE commitment | On-chain event contracts | ICE data distribution agreement Largest on-chain prediction market |
| 2 | Kalshi | CFTC-regulated DCM | New York, USA | $22B valuation $10B+ monthly volume | Event contract exchange | First regulated US prediction market Launched crypto perpetuals (2026) |
| 3 | Robinhood Predictions | Broker distribution | Menlo Park, USA | 12B+ contracts traded 26.8M funded accounts | In-app prediction hub | Largest retail distribution layer MIAXdx acquisition (2026) |
| 4 | Coinbase Predict | Broker distribution | United States | 100M+ users Nationwide rollout (2026) | App-based event contracts | Integrated with Kalshi backend Regulatory litigation strategy |
| 5 | Backpack Predictions | Exchange integration | United States | $363B lifetime exchange volume Unified portfolio launched | Cross-margined predictions | One-account system across spot and perps MiFID II access via FTX EU |
| 6 | Crypto.com Derivatives | CFTC-regulated DCM | Singapore / USA | 100M+ users 40x prediction growth | Event contract exchange | White-label backend for multiple platforms Sports and finance markets |
| 7 | Limitless | On-chain venue | Cayman Islands | $1B+ monthly volume $2B+ cumulative | CLOB prediction markets | Fastest growth among on-chain platforms BNB Chain expansion |
| 8 | Opinion | On-chain venue | BNB ecosystem | $158M TVL $14M+ fees generated | Decentralized predictions | Second-largest DeFi prediction market AI-generated market rules |
| 9 | Fanatics Markets | Sports specialist | United States | 200M+ users (parent) Live in 24 states | Sports prediction markets | Crypto.com backend integration Multi-category expansion planned |
| 10 | Manifold Markets | Reputation-based | United States | Thousands of markets Strong calibration metrics | Play-money predictions | Widely used in research communities Open API forecasting |
| 11 | Metaculus | Reputation-based | United States | 3.5M+ predictions 20K+ active questions | Scientific forecasting | Used by research institutions High calibration accuracy |
| 12 | Azuro | DEX infrastructure | Decentralized | 30+ frontend platforms Multi-chain deployment | Liquidity infrastructure | Liquidity Tree model Protocol-as-infrastructure design |
| 13 | Thales Markets | DEX protocol | Decentralized | Multi-chain deployment Synthetix integration | Binary options + sports | Longest-running Optimism protocol Overtime sports vertical |
| 14 | DraftKings Predictions | Sports specialist | United States | $14B market cap (parent) 38-state launch | Event contract platform | CME settlement infrastructure Railbird acquisition |
| 15 | Raven Trading | Liquidity infrastructure | Bulgaria | Backed by Wintermute, Coinbase Ventures $2.7M seed round | Market making, liquidity | Provides institutional liquidity layer Supports multi-venue depth |
榜单说明
BeInCrypto 机构100强——预测市场（2026 年初选榜单）聚焦于全球支持机构与散户参与事件合约市场的平台与基础设施。这其中包括受监管的交易所、券商接入方案、链上交易平台及为市场提供流动性的第三方服务商。
评选方法学
本类别评审采用 BIC 100 Track B 流程：量化指标占 30%，专家委员会打分占 50%，公开数据披露占 20%。
评审涵盖七大准则：市场深度、流动性、结算质量、用户规模、合规地位、机构价值及技术基础设施。
所有数据通过监管申报、链上数据分析平台及如 PitchBook、Tracxn 等私营市场信息渠道交叉核查。数据均为文章发布时最新可用版本。
